Daily 4H technical scan

{
  "asOf": "2026-10-24",
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:35:38.090Z",
  "actualIndexMarkets": [
    {
      "id": "6079830",
      "eventId": "1240325",
      "question": "S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?",
      "instrument": "S&P 500; exact underlying requires rule review",
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/spx-up-or-down-on-october-26-2026",
      "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, October 26, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, October 26, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.\n\nIf the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\n\nIf SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nUS: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks\nEMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea \nASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks",
      "deadline": "2026-10-26T20:00:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:32:38.2354Z",
      "volume24hr": 408.65448200000003,
      "outcomes": "[\"Up\", \"Down\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"93560555210696202350672027786711811451239320771325576011610761251720698522569\", \"15853361214673986571071026164837025632731768140858566962167010753287292890855\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Up",
          "token": "93560555210696202350672027786711811451239320771325576011610761251720698522569",
          "bid": 0.51,
          "ask": 0.54,
          "spread": 0.030000000000000027,
          "midpoint": 0.525,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 83,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 33,
          "askDepth": 50,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:33:47.651Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.923Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 41.272,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "Down",
          "token": "15853361214673986571071026164837025632731768140858566962167010753287292890855",
          "bid": 0.46,
          "ask": 0.49,
          "spread": 0.02999999999999997,
          "midpoint": 0.475,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 83,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 50,
          "askDepth": 33,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:33:47.651Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.922Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 41.271,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/6079830",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.935Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hrStatus": "reported by canonical Gamma market response",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Up",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "thin_best_level_depth",
            "low_24h_volume"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 41.272,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "Down",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "thin_best_level_depth",
            "low_24h_volume"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 41.271,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "status": "unavailable",
        "reason": "No valid saved matching-contract/outcome baseline. Expired Friday23October SPX contracts are different horizons and cannot be compared with Monday26October."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "Monday26October2026 official S&P500(SPX) regular-session close versus Friday23October official close; exact WSJ Close settlement rules retained.",
      "assessment": "Weak/neutral unavailable for directional regime: Up51/54c midpoint52.5% near-even estimate, only83shares best-level depth and reported24hvolume408.65. No credible risk-on conclusion or matched prior Monday observation. Not SPY or a stock-trade probability."
    },
    {
      "id": "6079845",
      "eventId": "1240335",
      "question": "S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?",
      "instrument": "S&P 500; exact underlying requires rule review",
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-october-26-2026",
      "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 26 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 26 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.\n\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\n\nIf SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nUS: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks\nEMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea\nASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks",
      "deadline": "2026-10-26T20:00:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:30:39.27921Z",
      "outcomes": "[\"Up\", \"Down\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"91784533110149125837178481266364941917227709510541767855532450049063808079954\", \"114962291393848165346328202794013477163573390574222527283990208234274233223099\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Up",
          "token": "91784533110149125837178481266364941917227709510541767855532450049063808079954",
          "bid": 0.3,
          "ask": 0.85,
          "spread": 0.55,
          "midpoint": 0.575,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 445,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 5,
          "askDepth": 440,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:30:21.441Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.916Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 247.475,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "Down",
          "token": "114962291393848165346328202794013477163573390574222527283990208234274233223099",
          "bid": 0.15,
          "ask": 0.7,
          "spread": 0.5499999999999999,
          "midpoint": 0.425,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 445,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 440,
          "askDepth": 5,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:30:21.441Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.939Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 247.498,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/6079845",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.942Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hr": null,
      "volume24hrStatus": "unavailable in canonical Gamma market response; not zero",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Up",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "wide_spread",
            "24h_volume_unavailable"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 247.475,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "Down",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "wide_spread",
            "24h_volume_unavailable"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 247.498,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "status": "unavailable",
        "reason": "No valid saved matching-contract/outcome baseline. Expired Friday23October SPX contracts are different horizons and cannot be compared with Monday26October."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "Monday26October2026 SPX official opening versus Friday23October close; not closing direction.",
      "assessment": "Unusable: Up30/85c has55cent spread, only5shares at best bid, and canonical24hvolume unavailable. Midpoint57.5% is raw audit arithmetic, not an adopted directional forecast."
    }
  ],
  "earningsReview": [
    {
      "id": "5778641",
      "eventId": "1200496",
      "question": "Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?",
      "instrument": null,
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/hlt-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-2pt38",
      "rules": "As of market creation, Hilton is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Hilton’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.38 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Hilton reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $2.38 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.\n\nIf Hilton releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation.\nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
      "resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/HLT/earnings",
      "deadline": "2026-10-27T13:00:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:32:38.2354Z",
      "volume24hr": 60,
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"68893441493629624664105967887254971456104302651802613938563512494282680466032\", \"79623823661332487196656230783356893453986063498696217991208539948308788850802\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "token": "68893441493629624664105967887254971456104302651802613938563512494282680466032",
          "bid": 0.8,
          "ask": 0.88,
          "spread": 0.07999999999999996,
          "midpoint": 0.8400000000000001,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 125,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 75,
          "askDepth": 50,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:33:36.680Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.940Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 52.26,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "token": "79623823661332487196656230783356893453986063498696217991208539948308788850802",
          "bid": 0.12,
          "ask": 0.2,
          "spread": 0.08000000000000002,
          "midpoint": 0.16,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 125,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 50,
          "askDepth": 75,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:33:36.680Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.933Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 52.253,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/5778641",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.955Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hrStatus": "reported by canonical Gamma market response",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "wide_spread",
            "thin_best_level_depth",
            "low_24h_volume"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 52.26,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "wide_spread",
            "thin_best_level_depth",
            "low_24h_volume"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 52.253,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "comparisonCheckedAt": "2026-10-23T05:37:22.202Z",
        "priorSourceTime": "2026-10-23T04:14:47.911Z",
        "priorMidpoint": 0.815,
        "currentMidpoint": 0.8400000000000001,
        "changePercentagePoints": 2.5000000000000133,
        "qualityNote": "Audit arithmetic only: yesterday quote stale and today spread/volume weak; no credible odds trend."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "Hilton next Q3 2026 earnings: initial headline non-GAAP EPS strictly above USD2.38 fixed at market creation, with exact fallback rules retained. Not today consensus or stock-return outcome.",
      "assessment": "Held-company contract found but reader odds withheld: Yes80/88c eight-cent spread,125best-level shares and only60reported24hvolume make it unusable. Raw84% midpoint is audit arithmetic only. Prior81.5% quote was stale, so +2.5pp arithmetic is not credible trend.",
      "issuerEvidence": {
        "quarter": "Q3 2026",
        "date": "2026-10-27",
        "resultsReleaseTime": null,
        "releaseQualification": "Before stock-market open; exact clock unspecified.",
        "callTime": "2026-10-27T13:00:00Z",
        "sourceUrl": "https://ir.hilton.com/news-events/investor-news/detail/415/hilton-announces-third-quarter-2026-earnings-release-date",
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:35:38.090Z",
        "expectations": "Contract creation-time non-GAAP2.38 threshold is not a current independently verified survey consensus."
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "5778688",
      "eventId": "1200542",
      "question": "Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?",
      "instrument": null,
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/mnst-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-29-2026-0pt31",
      "rules": "As of market creation, Monster Beverage is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Monster Beverage's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.31 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Monster Beverage reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.31 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.\n\nIf Monster Beverage releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.\nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
      "resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/MNST/earnings",
      "deadline": "2026-10-29T21:00:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:32:38.2354Z",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"68630982033465666799582155072572882538645464804910125757126795007526276015718\", \"71325543740053748026071989117029617348984908302145608889789930025507531028030\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "token": "68630982033465666799582155072572882538645464804910125757126795007526276015718",
          "bid": 0.24,
          "ask": 0.28,
          "spread": 0.040000000000000036,
          "midpoint": 0.26,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 619,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 269,
          "askDepth": 350,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:26.256Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.932Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 2.676,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "token": "71325543740053748026071989117029617348984908302145608889789930025507531028030",
          "bid": 0.72,
          "ask": 0.76,
          "spread": 0.040000000000000036,
          "midpoint": 0.74,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 619,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 350,
          "askDepth": 269,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:26.256Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.934Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 2.678,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/5778688",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.934Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hr": null,
      "volume24hrStatus": "unavailable in canonical Gamma market response; not zero",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "24h_volume_unavailable"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 2.676,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "24h_volume_unavailable"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 2.678,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "status": "unavailable",
        "reason": "No valid saved matching-contract/outcome baseline. Expired Friday23October SPX contracts are different horizons and cannot be compared with Monday26October."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "Next Monster Beverage release: GAAP EPS strictly above USD0.31, contract-creation threshold with exact96hour fallback/45day-window rules retained. Market estimates29October; issuer date/fiscal quarter remain independently unverified.",
      "assessment": "Not reader-relevant: not a holding or selection at this research stage. Yes24/28c raw26%midpoint cannot be adopted without matching issuer date/quarter/EPS/split basis and reported24hvolume, which is unavailable. Contract estimated29October is discovery evidence, not primary calendar proof.",
      "issuerEvidence": {
        "status": "unavailable_current_primary_calendar_confirmation",
        "sourceUrl": "https://investors.monsterbevcorp.com/events-and-presentations",
        "date": null,
        "quarter": null,
        "resultsReleaseTime": null,
        "callTime": null,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:35:38.090Z",
        "note": "Previous dated issuer review did not establish current next report timing; do not upgrade that from a prediction-market creation estimate. New Maya primary check requested."
      }
    }
  ],
  "fedReview": [
    {
      "id": "2589810",
      "eventId": "606422",
      "question": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?",
      "instrument": null,
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",
      "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
      "deadline": "2026-10-29T03:59:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:32:38.2354Z",
      "volume24hr": 190449.76,
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"17010377994663817312158123655937348199252960045746746128731746451645055725586\", \"61725366781282351729996972759460154434089275036953062948669003249092837754960\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "token": "17010377994663817312158123655937348199252960045746746128731746451645055725586",
          "bid": null,
          "ask": 0.001,
          "spread": null,
          "midpoint": null,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 1509200.39,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 0,
          "askDepth": 1509200.39,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:15.430Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.929Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 13.499,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "token": "61725366781282351729996972759460154434089275036953062948669003249092837754960",
          "bid": 0.999,
          "ask": null,
          "spread": null,
          "midpoint": null,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 1509200.39,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 1509200.39,
          "askDepth": 0,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:15.430Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.925Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 13.495,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/2589810",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.936Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hrStatus": "reported by canonical Gamma market response",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "missing_bid_or_ask"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 13.499,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "status": "weak_or_unusable",
          "issues": [
            "missing_bid_or_ask"
          ],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 13.495,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "status": "unavailable",
        "reason": "No valid saved matching-contract/outcome baseline. Expired Friday23October SPX contracts are different horizons and cannot be compared with Monday26October."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "October27–28 FOMC target federal-funds upper-bound change versus pre-meeting level; exact rounding/fallback rules retained.",
      "assessment": "Individual outcome only. No-changeYes93/94c midpoint93.5% unchanged versus matching23October.25bp-hikeYes6/7c midpoint6.5% is+1pp versus prior5.5%.25bp-cut0.15% is-0.10pp versus prior0.25%;50+bpcut has no bid/midpoint. Never add these prices or equate them with equity direction or trade success."
    },
    {
      "id": "2589811",
      "eventId": "606422",
      "question": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?",
      "instrument": null,
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",
      "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
      "deadline": "2026-10-29T03:59:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:32:38.2354Z",
      "volume24hr": 544947.248337,
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"33268510350568915228897273528353467773422190590579607471427765079749830445947\", \"110888499829195123034987289109543572302716575133123608254293945182185650232552\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "token": "33268510350568915228897273528353467773422190590579607471427765079749830445947",
          "bid": 0.001,
          "ask": 0.002,
          "spread": 0.001,
          "midpoint": 0.0015,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 3898165.1399999997,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 3216160.88,
          "askDepth": 682004.26,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:29.514Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.931Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": -0.583,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "token": "110888499829195123034987289109543572302716575133123608254293945182185650232552",
          "bid": 0.998,
          "ask": 0.999,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "midpoint": 0.9984999999999999,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 3898165.1399999997,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 682004.26,
          "askDepth": 3216160.88,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:29.514Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.950Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": -0.564,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/2589811",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.937Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hrStatus": "reported by canonical Gamma market response",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "status": "observed_current_book",
          "issues": [],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": -0.583,
          "clockNote": "Sub-second source/check clock skew retained, not a future trade inference.",
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "status": "observed_current_book",
          "issues": [],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": -0.564,
          "clockNote": "Sub-second source/check clock skew retained, not a future trade inference.",
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "comparisonCheckedAt": "2026-10-23T05:37:22.203Z",
        "priorSourceTime": "2026-10-23T05:36:58.468Z",
        "priorMidpoint": 0.0025,
        "currentMidpoint": 0.0015,
        "changePercentagePoints": -0.1,
        "qualityNote": "Matched exact contract/outcome stored observation; no probability sum, forecast calibration or equity trade-success inference."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "October27–28 FOMC target federal-funds upper-bound change versus pre-meeting level; exact rounding/fallback rules retained.",
      "assessment": "Individual outcome only. No-changeYes93/94c midpoint93.5% unchanged versus matching23October.25bp-hikeYes6/7c midpoint6.5% is+1pp versus prior5.5%.25bp-cut0.15% is-0.10pp versus prior0.25%;50+bpcut has no bid/midpoint. Never add these prices or equate them with equity direction or trade success."
    },
    {
      "id": "2589812",
      "eventId": "606422",
      "question": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?",
      "instrument": null,
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",
      "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
      "deadline": "2026-10-29T03:59:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:32:38.2354Z",
      "volume24hr": 1355588.6498699996,
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748\", \"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "token": "111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748",
          "bid": 0.93,
          "ask": 0.94,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "midpoint": 0.935,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 865472.38,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 690856.8,
          "askDepth": 174615.58,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:17.072Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.934Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 11.862,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "token": "42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415",
          "bid": 0.06,
          "ask": 0.07,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "midpoint": 0.065,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 865472.38,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 174615.58,
          "askDepth": 690856.8,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:17.072Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.928Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 11.856,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/2589812",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.941Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hrStatus": "reported by canonical Gamma market response",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "status": "observed_current_book",
          "issues": [],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 11.862,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "status": "observed_current_book",
          "issues": [],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 11.856,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "comparisonCheckedAt": "2026-10-23T05:37:22.206Z",
        "priorSourceTime": "2026-10-23T05:37:05.336Z",
        "priorMidpoint": 0.935,
        "currentMidpoint": 0.935,
        "changePercentagePoints": 0,
        "qualityNote": "Matched exact contract/outcome stored observation; no probability sum, forecast calibration or equity trade-success inference."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "October27–28 FOMC target federal-funds upper-bound change versus pre-meeting level; exact rounding/fallback rules retained.",
      "assessment": "Individual outcome only. No-changeYes93/94c midpoint93.5% unchanged versus matching23October.25bp-hikeYes6/7c midpoint6.5% is+1pp versus prior5.5%.25bp-cut0.15% is-0.10pp versus prior0.25%;50+bpcut has no bid/midpoint. Never add these prices or equate them with equity direction or trade success."
    },
    {
      "id": "2589813",
      "eventId": "606422",
      "question": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?",
      "instrument": null,
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",
      "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
      "deadline": "2026-10-29T03:59:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:32:38.2354Z",
      "volume24hr": 1285105.6656199999,
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050\", \"78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "token": "55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050",
          "bid": 0.06,
          "ask": 0.07,
          "spread": 0.010000000000000009,
          "midpoint": 0.065,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 359083,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 117208.42,
          "askDepth": 241874.58,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:21.173Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.930Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 7.757,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "token": "78632395083310670734315205502061249602319069653915932320155846460019107676757",
          "bid": 0.93,
          "ask": 0.94,
          "spread": 0.009999999999999898,
          "midpoint": 0.935,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 359083,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 241874.58,
          "askDepth": 117208.42,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:21.173Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.926Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 7.753,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/2589813",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.953Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hrStatus": "reported by canonical Gamma market response",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "status": "observed_current_book",
          "issues": [],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 7.757,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "status": "observed_current_book",
          "issues": [],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 7.753,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "comparisonCheckedAt": "2026-10-23T05:37:22.169Z",
        "priorSourceTime": "2026-10-23T05:37:09.092Z",
        "priorMidpoint": 0.055,
        "currentMidpoint": 0.065,
        "changePercentagePoints": 1.0000000000000002,
        "qualityNote": "Matched exact contract/outcome stored observation; no probability sum, forecast calibration or equity trade-success inference."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "October27–28 FOMC target federal-funds upper-bound change versus pre-meeting level; exact rounding/fallback rules retained.",
      "assessment": "Individual outcome only. No-changeYes93/94c midpoint93.5% unchanged versus matching23October.25bp-hikeYes6/7c midpoint6.5% is+1pp versus prior5.5%.25bp-cut0.15% is-0.10pp versus prior0.25%;50+bpcut has no bid/midpoint. Never add these prices or equate them with equity direction or trade success."
    },
    {
      "id": "2589814",
      "eventId": "606422",
      "question": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?",
      "instrument": null,
      "sourceUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537",
      "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
      "deadline": "2026-10-29T03:59:00Z",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T05:30:39.27921Z",
      "volume24hr": 538508.6413179999,
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "tokens": "[\"18246296022868501258060085368606280205967114341141276439803424448463050819498\", \"41864497411878191766967581422432961750808440991174085516384293402629587721839\"]",
      "reviewStatus": "requires_instrument_metric_horizon_and_book_audit",
      "quoteAudit": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "token": "18246296022868501258060085368606280205967114341141276439803424448463050819498",
          "bid": 0.002,
          "ask": 0.003,
          "spread": 0.001,
          "midpoint": 0.0025,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 5287959.680000001,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 5240477.23,
          "askDepth": 47482.45,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:24.066Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.929Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 4.863,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "token": "41864497411878191766967581422432961750808440991174085516384293402629587721839",
          "bid": 0.997,
          "ask": 0.998,
          "spread": 0.0010000000000000009,
          "midpoint": 0.9975,
          "midpointLabel": "Bid/ask midpoint estimate",
          "depth": 5287959.680000001,
          "depthMeaning": "Sum of displayed sizes at the best bid and best ask, in outcome shares; not USD notional or total order-book depth",
          "bidDepth": 47482.45,
          "askDepth": 5240477.23,
          "sourceTime": "2026-10-24T05:34:24.066Z",
          "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:28.935Z",
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 4.869,
          "lastTradeUsed": false,
          "lastTradeDate": "Unavailable; no last-trade probability used"
        }
      ],
      "mappingChecked": true,
      "canonicalState": {
        "sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/2589814",
        "http": 200,
        "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:44.926Z",
        "active": true,
        "closed": false,
        "acceptingOrders": true
      },
      "volume24hrStatus": "reported by canonical Gamma market response",
      "qualityReview": [
        {
          "outcome": "Yes",
          "status": "observed_current_book",
          "issues": [],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 4.863,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        },
        {
          "outcome": "No",
          "status": "observed_current_book",
          "issues": [],
          "sourceAgeSeconds": 4.869,
          "clockNote": null,
          "limitation": "Displayed depth is outcome shares at best levels, not dollar liquidity or guaranteed fills. No calibrated forecast or trade-win probability."
        }
      ],
      "stateReview": {
        "status": "active_unresolved_trading",
        "eventOccurred": false,
        "eventCheck": "Monday26October SPX opening/close,27–28October FOMC and next issuer earnings had not occurred at this Saturday check; no touch contract used."
      },
      "comparison": {
        "comparisonCheckedAt": "2026-10-23T05:37:22.175Z",
        "priorSourceTime": "2026-10-23T05:36:58.484Z",
        "priorMidpoint": 0.0035,
        "currentMidpoint": 0.0025,
        "changePercentagePoints": -0.1,
        "qualityNote": "Matched exact contract/outcome stored observation; no probability sum, forecast calibration or equity trade-success inference."
      },
      "readerRelevant": false,
      "horizon": "October27–28 FOMC target federal-funds upper-bound change versus pre-meeting level; exact rounding/fallback rules retained.",
      "assessment": "Individual outcome only. No-changeYes93/94c midpoint93.5% unchanged versus matching23October.25bp-hikeYes6/7c midpoint6.5% is+1pp versus prior5.5%.25bp-cut0.15% is-0.10pp versus prior0.25%;50+bpcut has no bid/midpoint. Never add these prices or equate them with equity direction or trade success."
    }
  ],
  "nasdaq100": "No suitable exact Nasdaq-100 market established in bounded public research for26October; Nasdaq Composite,QQQ andSPY were not substituted.",
  "sourcesChecked": [
    {
      "query": "S&P 500 SPX October 26 2026",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=S%26P%20500%20SPX%20October%2026%202026",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.380Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 2,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "SPX opens October 26 2026",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=SPX%20opens%20October%2026%202026",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.444Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Nasdaq-100 October 26 2026",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Nasdaq-100%20October%2026%202026",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.445Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Nasdaq 100 NDX direction October 2026",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Nasdaq%20100%20NDX%20direction%20October%202026",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.446Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Federal Reserve October 28 2026",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Federal%20Reserve%20October%2028%202026",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.447Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 3,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Fed October28 2026 interest rate decision",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Fed%20October28%202026%20interest%20rate%20decision",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.448Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Duke Energy earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Duke%20Energy%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.449Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Will Duke Energy DUK beat quarterly earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Will%20Duke%20Energy%20DUK%20beat%20quarterly%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.450Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Accenture earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Accenture%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.450Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Will Accenture ACN beat quarterly earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Will%20Accenture%20ACN%20beat%20quarterly%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.451Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Hilton earnings October 2026",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Hilton%20earnings%20October%202026",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.452Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Will Hilton HLT beat quarterly earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Will%20Hilton%20HLT%20beat%20quarterly%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.453Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "American Tower earnings October 2026",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=American%20Tower%20earnings%20October%202026",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.453Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 4,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Will American Tower AMT beat quarterly earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Will%20American%20Tower%20AMT%20beat%20quarterly%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.454Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 3,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Apple AAPL earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Apple%20AAPL%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.454Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 2,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Bloom Energy BE earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Bloom%20Energy%20BE%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.455Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Nebius NBIS earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Nebius%20NBIS%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.455Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 3,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "GE Healthcare GEHC earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=GE%20Healthcare%20GEHC%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.456Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Monster Beverage MNST earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Monster%20Beverage%20MNST%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.456Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Coca-Cola Europacific CCEP earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Coca-Cola%20Europacific%20CCEP%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.457Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Kinder Morgan KMI earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Kinder%20Morgan%20KMI%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.457Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 4,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Procter Gamble PG earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Procter%20Gamble%20PG%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.458Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Keurig Dr Pepper KDP earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Keurig%20Dr%20Pepper%20KDP%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.458Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "United Rentals URI earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=United%20Rentals%20URI%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:34:12.459Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Cadence Design Systems CDNS earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Cadence%20Design%20Systems%20CDNS%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.255Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Will Cadence CDNS beat quarterly earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Will%20Cadence%20CDNS%20beat%20quarterly%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.316Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Micron MU earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Micron%20MU%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.317Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": true,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Will Micron MU beat quarterly earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Will%20Micron%20MU%20beat%20quarterly%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.318Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 5,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Xcel Energy XEL earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Xcel%20Energy%20XEL%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.319Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Will Xcel Energy XEL beat quarterly earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Will%20Xcel%20Energy%20XEL%20beat%20quarterly%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.320Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Everpure P earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Everpure%20P%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.321Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    },
    {
      "query": "Will Everpure beat quarterly earnings",
      "url": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/public-search?q=Will%20Everpure%20beat%20quarterly%20earnings",
      "http": 200,
      "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.321Z",
      "coverage": {
        "events": 1,
        "hasMore": false,
        "bounded": "First public-search page; not exhaustive"
      }
    }
  ],
  "regimeContext": "Neutral/unavailable from prediction evidence. Monday SPX close quote is near-even and thin/low-volume; opening quote has55cent spread. Fed no-change pricing is stable, with different FOMC horizon. Actual audited price/sector/breadth/volatility evidence remains independent; no regime or numerical trade improvement is manufactured.",
  "decisionImpact": "No trigger, score, units or stop/target change is justified by these probabilities. Hilton has an 8-cent spread, only 125 shares at the best levels and $60 of reported 24-hour volume; its earnings context is unusable. Monday 26 October SPX closing context is near-even, thin and low-volume; opening context has a 55-cent spread. Fed no-change midpoint 93.5% is unchanged against the exact 23 October stored observation. A 1 percentage-point increase in the 25bp-hike contract is a separate policy-horizon observation, not demonstrated equity causality or a regime shift. Final allocation review still requires the fresh sealed scan.",
  "heldEarningsCoverage": {
    "symbols": [
      "DUK.US",
      "ACN.US",
      "HLT.US",
      "AMT.US"
    ],
    "found": [
      "HLT.US"
    ],
    "unusable": [
      "HLT.US"
    ],
    "noSuitableMarket": [
      "DUK.US",
      "ACN.US",
      "AMT.US"
    ],
    "note": "Bounded first public-search pages and canonical states, not exhaustive monitoring. Hilton Grand Vacations is a different issuer; missing markets are unavailable, never zero."
  },
  "candidateEarningsCoverage": {
    "symbols": [
      "AAPL.US",
      "MNST.US",
      "GEHC.US",
      "CCEP.US"
    ],
    "found": [
      "MNST.US"
    ],
    "note": "MNST market has unavailable 24-hour volume and unverified current issuer date/quarter/metric/split comparability; other candidate names had no suitable exact unresolved market established in the checked sample. Final featured scope is recorded separately with fresh searches."
  },
  "alexHandoff": {
    "sourceFile": "work/polymarket-2026-10-24.json",
    "priceCutoff": "2026-10-23T20:00:00Z",
    "technicalIndependence": "Maximum-weekly-log/daily/4H/1H/15m methodology, triggers and competing counts remain independent. Odds cannot supply missing bars, pivots, qualification, scores or trade-success probabilities."
  },
  "holdingRiskSupplement": {
    "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:44:15.872Z",
    "symbol": "HLT.US",
    "priceFile": "work/portfolio-market-2026-10-24.json",
    "priceCutoff": "2026-10-23T20:00:00Z",
    "activeFridayStop": 341.940002,
    "pendingMondayStop": 352.809997,
    "pendingEffectiveAt": "2026-10-26T13:30:00Z",
    "lastClose": 349.660003,
    "decisionImpact": "Friday close below the Monday pending stop is a prospective adverse-opening-gap alert, not a Friday stop breach or exit. Weak earnings probabilities do not justify cancellation, loosening or an invented fill; the active Friday stop still governed. An actual audited Monday opening is required for any authorized gap-stop accounting."
  },
  "featuredEarningsCoverage": {
    "symbols": [
      "CDNS.US",
      "MU.US",
      "XEL.US",
      "AMT.US",
      "P.US"
    ],
    "found": [],
    "noSuitableMarket": [
      "CDNS.US",
      "MU.US",
      "XEL.US",
      "AMT.US",
      "P.US"
    ],
    "status": "no_suitable_market_established",
    "checkedAt": "2026-10-24T05:45:26.725Z",
    "sourceFile": "work/polymarket-featured-supplement-2026-10-24.json",
    "note": "Eight fresh exact company-name/ticker searches supplement the initial American Tower search. No suitable active unresolved forward earnings market was established for the final five in the bounded returned sample. Everpure P is not Pandora or another issuer sharing a letter; missing coverage is unavailable, not zero."
  }
}

{
  "id": "model-stop:model-entry:sam-2026-10-06-ALAB.US-prospective:1791552600",
  "type": "sell",
  "symbol": "ALAB.US",
  "positionId": "model-entry:sam-2026-10-06-ALAB.US-prospective",
  "time": "2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z",
  "price": 342,
  "quantity": 13.2766859276152,
  "fees": 0,
  "model": true,
  "confirmation": "Jean-Marc approved simulated stop touch at stop price, adverse opening gap at audited opening, zero fees, including existing breached positions on 15 October 2026",
  "recordedAt": "2026-10-15T08:12:56.408Z",
  "authorizationAt": "2026-10-15T08:12:56.206Z",
  "restatement": true,
  "executionConvention": "model-stop-2026-10-15-v1",
  "reason": "Audited completed regular-session candle touched active stop",
  "stop": 342,
  "levelUpdateId": null,
  "source": "EODHD / saved audited same-session vintage",
  "sourceUrl": "https://wave-workshop.zaffranjm.chatgpt.site/api/screening?symbol=ALAB.US&timeframe=240&session=us&method=jean-marc",
  "evidenceFile": "portfolio-market-2026-10-10.json",
  "evidenceSHA256": "26f913a6dbb931fb1b68f43d5ddfcd88fc3b69e47f51ff908e19a24015edaee0",
  "timePrecision": "Touch occurred within the evidenced candle window; accounting timestamp is its completed close, not a claimed exact trade time",
  "executionWindow": {
    "start": "2026-10-09T13:30:00.000Z",
    "end": "2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z"
  },
  "evidenceBar": {
    "open": 346.225006,
    "high": 349.950012,
    "low": 326.25,
    "close": 340.600006
  },
  "priceBasis": "session-vintage"
}

{
  "id": "model-stop:model-entry:sam-2026-10-06-AMD.US-prospective:1791811800",
  "type": "sell",
  "symbol": "AMD.US",
  "positionId": "model-entry:sam-2026-10-06-AMD.US-prospective",
  "time": "2026-10-12T17:30:00.000Z",
  "price": 596.070007,
  "quantity": 7.881561840811783,
  "fees": 0,
  "model": true,
  "confirmation": "Jean-Marc approved simulated stop touch at stop price, adverse opening gap at audited opening, zero fees, including existing breached positions on 15 October 2026",
  "recordedAt": "2026-10-15T08:12:56.408Z",
  "authorizationAt": "2026-10-15T08:12:56.206Z",
  "restatement": true,
  "executionConvention": "model-stop-2026-10-15-v1",
  "reason": "Audited completed regular-session candle touched active stop",
  "stop": 596.070007,
  "levelUpdateId": null,
  "source": "EODHD / saved audited same-session vintage",
  "sourceUrl": "https://wave-workshop.zaffranjm.chatgpt.site/api/screening?symbol=AMD.US&timeframe=240&session=us&method=jean-marc",
  "evidenceFile": "portfolio-market-2026-10-13.json",
  "evidenceSHA256": "aa7c72172b873ae5003bfb8e914efc08e26644ab8a1133b12179e359a6138806",
  "timePrecision": "Touch occurred within the evidenced candle window; accounting timestamp is its completed close, not a claimed exact trade time",
  "executionWindow": {
    "start": "2026-10-12T13:30:00.000Z",
    "end": "2026-10-12T17:30:00.000Z"
  },
  "evidenceBar": {
    "open": 599.859985,
    "high": 601.770019,
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    "close": 590.059997
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  "priceBasis": "session-vintage"
}

{
  "id": "model-stop:model-entry:sam-2026-10-06-NVDA.US-prospective:1791811800",
  "type": "sell",
  "symbol": "NVDA.US",
  "positionId": "model-entry:sam-2026-10-06-NVDA.US-prospective",
  "time": "2026-10-12T17:30:00.000Z",
  "price": 227.024993,
  "quantity": 42.07426053971692,
  "fees": 0,
  "model": true,
  "confirmation": "Jean-Marc approved simulated stop touch at stop price, adverse opening gap at audited opening, zero fees, including existing breached positions on 15 October 2026",
  "recordedAt": "2026-10-15T08:12:56.408Z",
  "authorizationAt": "2026-10-15T08:12:56.206Z",
  "restatement": true,
  "executionConvention": "model-stop-2026-10-15-v1",
  "reason": "Audited completed regular-session candle touched active stop",
  "stop": 227.024993,
  "levelUpdateId": null,
  "source": "EODHD / saved audited same-session vintage",
  "sourceUrl": "https://wave-workshop.zaffranjm.chatgpt.site/api/screening?symbol=NVDA.US&timeframe=240&session=us&method=jean-marc",
  "evidenceFile": "portfolio-market-2026-10-13.json",
  "evidenceSHA256": "aa7c72172b873ae5003bfb8e914efc08e26644ab8a1133b12179e359a6138806",
  "timePrecision": "Touch occurred within the evidenced candle window; accounting timestamp is its completed close, not a claimed exact trade time",
  "executionWindow": {
    "start": "2026-10-12T13:30:00.000Z",
    "end": "2026-10-12T17:30:00.000Z"
  },
  "evidenceBar": {
    "open": 228.559997,
    "high": 228.86,
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    "close": 226.328994
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  "priceBasis": "session-vintage"
}

{
  "id": "model-stop:model-entry:sam-2026-10-07-GNRC.US-prospective:1791984600",
  "type": "sell",
  "symbol": "GNRC.US",
  "positionId": "model-entry:sam-2026-10-07-GNRC.US-prospective",
  "time": "2026-10-14T17:30:00.000Z",
  "price": 201.949996,
  "quantity": 22.764523869807523,
  "fees": 0,
  "model": true,
  "confirmation": "Jean-Marc approved simulated stop touch at stop price, adverse opening gap at audited opening, zero fees, including existing breached positions on 15 October 2026",
  "recordedAt": "2026-10-15T08:12:56.408Z",
  "authorizationAt": "2026-10-15T08:12:56.206Z",
  "restatement": true,
  "executionConvention": "model-stop-2026-10-15-v1",
  "reason": "Audited completed regular-session candle touched active stop",
  "stop": 201.949996,
  "levelUpdateId": null,
  "source": "EODHD / saved audited same-session vintage",
  "sourceUrl": "https://wave-workshop.zaffranjm.chatgpt.site/api/screening?symbol=GNRC.US&timeframe=240&session=us&method=jean-marc",
  "evidenceFile": "portfolio-market-2026-10-15.json",
  "evidenceSHA256": "846ceacd1d33c463fcd1f549eaabe8e5d3c871c09e7801e7035253921f179f71",
  "timePrecision": "Touch occurred within the evidenced candle window; accounting timestamp is its completed close, not a claimed exact trade time",
  "executionWindow": {
    "start": "2026-10-14T13:30:00.000Z",
    "end": "2026-10-14T17:30:00.000Z"
  },
  "evidenceBar": {
    "open": 211.470001,
    "high": 211.479995,
    "low": 198.710006,
    "close": 198.910003
  },
  "priceBasis": "session-vintage"
}