Released 01:00 ET / 06:00 UK: ASML Holding N.V. (Technology) reported Q3 sales of EUR11.7bn and net income of EUR5.0bn; full-year sales outlook EUR44-45bn. Separate investor call 09:00 ET / 14:00 UK. No consensus surprise or price reaction is assumed.
Bank of America Corporation (Financial Services) results scheduled approximately 06:45 ET / 11:45 UK; separate investor call 08:30 ET / 13:30 UK. Watch credit and lending commentary; results are not assumed.
Morgan Stanley (Financial Services) results scheduled approximately 07:30 ET / 12:30 UK; separate call 09:30 ET / 14:30 UK. Trading and wealth-management trends may inform financial-sector context.
BlackRock Inc (Financial Services) results are scheduled before the US opening and before its07:30ET /12:30UK call. Exact release time is unspecified; this row marks the call, not the results release.
September CPI and real earnings scheduled 08:30 ET / 13:30 UK. Inflation surprise and audited rates/equity reaction require the actual release; no outcome or direction is assumed.
Fastenal Company (Industrials) Q3 call at09:00central /10:00ET /15:00UK. Supplemental presentation scheduled06:00central /12:00UK; exact results-release time was not separately verified.
Favour qualified long setups; assess shorts on their individual merits. Existing trigger, sizing and short-exposure limits apply.
SPY · S&P 500 ETF proxy: positive — daily close 778.01, SMA50 767.39; SMA20 rising over five sessions.
QQQ · Nasdaq-100 ETF proxy: positive — daily close 743.57, SMA50 726.06; SMA20 rising over five sessions.
Breadth, volatility, credit, rates and dollar confirmation are not yet included. This is an index-trend bias, not a confirmed full macro regime or an automatic trading signal.
Method and coverage
Both SPY and QQQ above their daily SMA50 and daily SMA20 rising over five sessions: risk-on bias; both below SMA50 and SMA20 falling: risk-off bias; otherwise mixed. Missing essential history: unavailable. Provisional uncalibrated rules. Daily series are split/dividend adjusted; separate from portfolio price-return marks.
Sector ETF technicals
Prices: 2026-10-13 US session. Daily and completed regular-session 4H coverage: 15/15. All fifteen fund timestamps match. Validated current daily coverage: 15/15. Daily relative and liquidity metrics use completed daily bars independently of 4H availability. Relative context is each fund’s 20-session return minus SPY over the same dates; volume is average daily dollar turnover, not an executable spread.
Forming watch levels. Daily price date: 2026-10-13; 4H close: 2026-10-13T20:00:00.000Z. RSI 59.5; MACD bullish. No setup passes all Jean-Marc checks. Inspect the unresolved or failed evidence below. Ascending triangle (forming): trigger 783.29, stop 770.43, target 819.13. Confirmed ±5-bar pivots. Upper resistance is approximately flat while lows are rising. The converging structure is forming; direction is not confirmed until a completed close leaves it. Target uses the triangle’s opening height; invalidation uses the latest opposite-side pivot.
Forming watch levels. Daily price date: 2026-10-13; 4H close: 2026-10-13T20:00:00.000Z. RSI 54.9; MACD bullish. No setup passes all Jean-Marc checks. Inspect the unresolved or failed evidence below. Double bottom (forming): trigger 115.61, stop 109.66, target 121.20. Two lows are within 0.6% with a meaningful intervening swing. A close above the middle swing is still required. Target projects the pattern height; the second extreme is the invalidation reference.
Forming watch levels. Daily price date: 2026-10-13; 4H close: 2026-10-13T20:00:00.000Z. RSI 60.3; MACD bullish. No setup passes all Jean-Marc checks. Inspect the unresolved or failed evidence below. Double bottom (forming): trigger 113.29, stop 107.99, target 117.89. Two lows are within 1.3% with a meaningful intervening swing. A close above the middle swing is still required. Target projects the pattern height; the second extreme is the invalidation reference.
Forming watch levels. Daily price date: 2026-10-13; 4H close: 2026-10-13T20:00:00.000Z. RSI 52.6; MACD bullish. No setup passes all Jean-Marc checks. Inspect the unresolved or failed evidence below. Double bottom (forming): trigger 171.87, stop 165.19, target 178.90. Two lows are within 0.4% with a meaningful intervening swing. A close above the middle swing is still required. Target projects the pattern height; the second extreme is the invalidation reference.
Forming watch levels. Daily price date: 2026-10-13; 4H close: 2026-10-13T20:00:00.000Z. RSI 52.9; MACD bullish. No setup passes all Jean-Marc checks. Inspect the unresolved or failed evidence below. Double bottom (forming): trigger 50.63, stop 47.81, target 52.54. Two lows are within 3.8% with a meaningful intervening swing. A close above the middle swing is still required. Target projects the pattern height; the second extreme is the invalidation reference.
Forming watch levels. Daily price date: 2026-10-13; 4H close: 2026-10-13T20:00:00.000Z. RSI 48.1; MACD bearish. No setup passes all Jean-Marc checks. Inspect the unresolved or failed evidence below. Double top (forming): trigger 192.68, stop 203.25, target 185.26. Two highs are within 3.2% with a meaningful intervening swing. A close below the middle swing is still required. Target projects the pattern height; the second extreme is the invalidation reference.
Forming watch levels. Daily price date: 2026-10-13; 4H close: 2026-10-13T20:00:00.000Z. RSI 66.4; MACD bullish. No setup passes all Jean-Marc checks. Inspect the unresolved or failed evidence below. Double bottom (forming): trigger 19.94, stop 19.07, target 20.71. Two lows are within 1.1% with a meaningful intervening swing. A close above the middle swing is still required. Target projects the pattern height; the second extreme is the invalidation reference.
Forming watch levels. Daily price date: 2026-10-13; 4H close: 2026-10-13T20:00:00.000Z. RSI 61.7; MACD bullish. No setup passes all Jean-Marc checks. Inspect the unresolved or failed evidence below. Double bottom (forming): trigger 155.60, stop 141.76, target 168.99. Two lows are within 0.6% with a meaningful intervening swing. A close above the middle swing is still required. Target projects the pattern height; the second extreme is the invalidation reference.
-8.40 pp
$817.2m/day
Sector leadership supports an independently verified stock setup; it cannot supply a missing trigger. Sam must count proposed fills against two open names per GICS sector, 25% gross sector notional and 1.5% combined original-stop risk; additions freeze in over-cap sectors. Commodity funds are separate macro context. Historical confirmed patterns are not new daily signals; Elliott candidates remain provisional.
5 price setups to examine, with the case for each and the risks beside it. Setup validity and model-portfolio allocation are separate decisions. Maya’s news and social-attention sections follow the charts.
Head & shoulders · Bearish price pattern · Last close $380.52
Why bearish: The head & shoulders has broken downward on a completed candle, favouring a possible continuation lower. The closing price is below its 50-bar average ($388.68) and below its 200-bar average ($381.82).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume supports the move. A move above $414.26 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; no release observed in the available calculation window. Momentum is bearish and falling (-33.47). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$387.41Stop reference$414.26Target reference$327.00Reward / risk at close1.6 : 1
Sam: technical risk review. See the dated company coverage and Sam’s decisions below for event checks and sizing; executable spreads are not verified. Short availability and borrowing costs unverified.
Competing reading: Bearish contracting diagonal · developing · Wave 3. No usable projected target supplied for this reading. Wave trigger $388.85; count invalidation $451.77. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Company news
Since the prior US close. Verified post-close calendar announcement at16:30EDT on October13: Q3 results scheduled October27 at16:30ET or later; separate call October28 at08:30ET. This is an earnings schedule, not released results. Recent edge-AI test-system launch supports product breadth but does not invalidate the bearish technical setup.
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Covered analyst consensus: 10 Buy / 2 Hold / 0 Sell (12 ratings), as of 2026-10-14. Displayed covered-analyst snapshot checked today; Strong Buy grouped with Buy. Not a complete census; cache freshness varies. Source.
Target changes in 30 days: 0 raises / 0 cuts (separate from rating changes). Accessible public attributed action table checked today. Selected visible last30-day events; cache and table limitations mean incomplete coverage. An empty list means none found in this table, not a verified market-wide zero. No private research accessed. Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Descending triangle · Bearish price pattern · Last close $485.39
Why bearish: The descending triangle has broken downward on a completed candle, favouring a possible continuation lower. The closing price is below its 50-bar average ($512.86) and below its 200-bar average ($495.30).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume supports the move. A move above $514.85 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; its last observed release was 21 completed bars ago. Momentum is bearish and falling (-12.88). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$492.99Stop reference$514.85Target reference$439.18Reward / risk at close1.6 : 1
Sam: technical risk review. See the dated company coverage and Sam’s decisions below for event checks and sizing; executable spreads are not verified. Short availability and borrowing costs unverified.
Leading reading: Bullish ABC zigzag. No usable projected target supplied for this reading. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Company news
Recent company news. Date-only recent news: Vertex reported interim open-label ALYFTREK data in children aged2–5, including recovery of pancreatic function in some participants; use in this age group remains investigational. Interpretation: supportive research evidence conflicts with the bearish chart but is not approval or guaranteed commercial growth. Q3 results November2 afterclose, call16:30ET.
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Covered analyst consensus: 21 Buy / 5 Hold / 1 Sell (27 ratings), as of 2026-10-14. Displayed covered-analyst snapshot checked today; Strong Buy grouped with Buy. Not a complete census; cache freshness varies. Source.
Target changes in 30 days: 2 raises / 0 cuts (separate from rating changes). Accessible public attributed action table checked today. Selected visible last30-day events; cache and table limitations mean incomplete coverage. An empty list means none found in this table, not a verified market-wide zero. No private research accessed. Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Bear flag · Bearish price pattern · Last close $223.75
Why bearish: Price fell, paused in a short counter-trend channel, then broke below that channel. This supports a possible continuation lower. The closing price is below its 50-bar average ($240.15) and below its 200-bar average ($262.22).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume is still unconfirmed. A move above $233.60 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; its last observed release was 57 completed bars ago. Momentum is bearish and rising (-9.14). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$227.46Stop reference$233.60Target reference$194.06Reward / risk at close3.0 : 1
Sam: technical risk review. Breakout volume unconfirmed. MACD runs against this setup. See the dated company coverage and Sam’s decisions below for event checks and sizing; executable spreads are not verified. Short availability and borrowing costs unverified.
Leading reading: Bearish expanding diagonal · developing. No usable projected target supplied for this reading. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Competing reading: Bearish ABC zigzag. No usable projected target supplied for this reading. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Company news
Older background. Older background: the latest visible issuer archive item is September29 AMVUTTRA disease-awareness initiative. It is not a fresh clinical result or earnings catalyst. Current overnight news and next earnings timing could not be independently established in this bounded archive/search review; coverage incomplete.
No fresh material item identified in the checked coverage. Bounded issuer archive/search review today found no material item in the current seven-day window; latest visible archive item is September 29. Overnight and next earnings coverage incomplete; not proof of no news. Newsroom checked.
Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z.
Maya · Wall Street view
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Covered analyst consensus: 20 Buy / 2 Hold / 0 Sell (22 ratings), as of 2026-10-14. Displayed covered-analyst snapshot checked today; Strong Buy grouped with Buy. Not a complete census; cache freshness varies. Source.
2026-09-21 · HC Wainwright & Co.: reiteration. Source
Target changes in 30 days: 0 raises / 2 cuts (separate from rating changes). Accessible public attributed action table checked today. Selected visible last30-day events; cache and table limitations mean incomplete coverage. An empty list means none found in this table, not a verified market-wide zero. No private research accessed. Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Bear flag · Bearish price pattern · Last close $272.11
Why bearish: Price fell, paused in a short counter-trend channel, then broke below that channel. This supports a possible continuation lower. The closing price is below its 50-bar average ($302.32) and below its 200-bar average ($401.39).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume is still unconfirmed. A move above $287.18 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; its last observed release was 43 completed bars ago. Momentum is bearish and rising (-10.05). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$274.75Stop reference$287.18Target reference$243.08Reward / risk at close1.9 : 1
Sam: technical risk review. Breakout volume unconfirmed. MACD runs against this setup. See the dated company coverage and Sam’s decisions below for event checks and sizing; executable spreads are not verified. Short availability and borrowing costs unverified.
Competing reading: Bearish contracting diagonal · developing · Wave 3. No usable projected target supplied for this reading. Wave trigger $269.41; count invalidation $287.18. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Company news
Recent company news. Scheduled event announced October7: Q3 results November4 after the US close, separate webinar17:00ET. This calendar announcement is not an operating result or verified overnight news. Recent public analyst target cuts add cautious opinion context; they are not new corporate guidance.
No fresh material item identified in the checked coverage. Bounded issuer archive review today found no fresh material corporate item in the current seven-day window. October 7 announcement of November 4 results remains scheduled-event context outside this window. Analyst actions are reviewed separately. Coverage incomplete; not proof of no news. Newsroom checked.
Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z.
Maya · Wall Street view
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Covered analyst consensus: 14 Buy / 4 Hold / 0 Sell (18 ratings), as of 2026-10-14. Displayed covered-analyst snapshot checked today; Strong Buy grouped with Buy. Not a complete census; cache freshness varies. Source.
Target changes in 30 days: 0 raises / 3 cuts (separate from rating changes). Accessible public attributed action table checked today. Selected visible last30-day events; cache and table limitations mean incomplete coverage. An empty list means none found in this table, not a verified market-wide zero. No private research accessed. Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Bull flag · Bullish price pattern · Last close $107.21
Why bullish: Price rose, paused in a short counter-trend channel, then broke above that channel. This supports a possible continuation higher. The closing price is above its 50-bar average ($103.91) and below its 200-bar average ($122.81).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume is still unconfirmed. A move below $104.08 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; no release observed in the available calculation window. Momentum is bullish and falling (8.34). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$106.63Stop reference$104.08Target reference$119.85Reward / risk at close4.0 : 1
Sam: technical risk review. Breakout volume unconfirmed. See the dated company coverage and Sam’s decisions below for event checks and sizing; executable spreads are not verified.
Elliott-wave scenario
No supported wave scenario resolved for this snapshot.
Maya · Company news
Older background. Older background: NRG said its proposed1.2GW Texas data-center power project was conditionally included in ERCOT Batch Zero, with study, verification and interconnection requirements outstanding. Interpretation: potential demand opportunity, not completed approval or realized earnings. The accessible corporate archive still ends September8; investor news endpoints failed and next earnings timing remains unverified. Fresh material-news coverage is incomplete.
No fresh material item identified in the checked coverage. Accessible corporate archive review today found no fresh material item in the current seven-day window; latest visible archive item is September 8. Investor news endpoints failed. Overnight news and next earnings coverage remain incomplete; not proof of no news. Newsroom checked.
Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z.
Maya · Wall Street view
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Covered analyst consensus: 12 Buy / 1 Hold / 0 Sell (13 ratings), as of 2026-10-14. Displayed covered-analyst snapshot checked today; Strong Buy grouped with Buy. Not a complete census; cache freshness varies. Source.
Target changes in 30 days: 0 raises / 1 cuts (separate from rating changes). Accessible public attributed action table checked today. Selected visible last30-day events; cache and table limitations mean incomplete coverage. An empty list means none found in this table, not a verified market-wide zero. No private research accessed. Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Pattern targets are conditional measurements. Elliott alternatives remain unqualified; full analysis is linked below. Sam’s rules-based checklist is not an independent AI approval. Gaps can exceed stops.
TTM Squeeze settings and interpretation
20-bar Bollinger bands (2 population standard deviations); original Keltner: SMA20 typical price ± 1.5 × SMA20 high-low range; 20-bar regression momentum. Latest completed 4H candles only; a fresh trigger requires a release on the latest candle with positive/rising or negative/falling momentum. Other platforms may use different Keltner settings. Method reference.
Maya’s company & AI news
Inflation before allocation
2026-10-14 · Scheduled macro event
September CPI is due today at08:30ET; Beige Book at14:00ET. Interpretation: growth and discount-rate sensitivity needs the actual release and audited reaction, not a preassigned bullish or bearish outcome. Source →
Clinical progress versus falling prices
Healthcare · Biotechnology
2026-10-09 · Date-only company news
Vertex disclosed interim ALYFTREK evidence in young children; the use remains investigational. Interpretation: encouraging research can coexist with a bearish technical setup. Respect invalidation and missing borrow evidence. Source →
Advertising estimates reset
Communication Services · Advertising Agencies
2026-10-13 · Public analyst opinion
Morgan Stanley lowered its AppLovin target from450 to400 while keeping Overweight, following other recent target cuts. Interpretation: reduced targets show caution, but retained positive ratings are a competing view; targets do not establish future returns. Source →
Social attention · saved history
Rolling 24-hour mention snapshots; dates and times below are UTC. Windows may overlap. Missing history is unknown, not zero. This is attention, not sentiment or a trading signal.
Company
Current
Prior observations / follow-up
JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) Financial Services
35 10-14 07:42 UTC
No saved prior count. History limited: no comparable saved prior count. Build a longer comparable history; check the next saved snapshot for persistence. Unknown: 10-02 (not saved), 10-06 (not saved), 10-07 (not saved), 10-08 (not saved), 10-09 (not saved), 10-10 (not saved), 10-12 (not saved), 10-13 (not saved).
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) Healthcare
26 10-14 07:42 UTC
No saved prior count. History limited: no comparable saved prior count. Build a longer comparable history; check the next saved snapshot for persistence. Unknown: 10-02 (not saved), 10-06 (not saved), 10-07 (not saved), 10-08 (not saved), 10-09 (not saved), 10-10 (not saved), 10-12 (not saved), 10-13 (not saved).
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Technology
28 10-14 07:42 UTC
10-07 05:37 UTC: 35 10-10 05:32 UTC: 31 Falling across saved observations: 3 observations, 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-14. Overall 35 → 28 (-7 mentions). Irregular rolling snapshots, not a continuous daily trend. Build a longer comparable history; check the next saved snapshot for persistence. Unknown: 10-02 (not saved), 10-06 (not saved), 10-08 (not saved), 10-09 (not saved), 10-12 (not saved), 10-13 (not saved).
Saved current24h values only; previous24h fields are not converted into dated observations. These are rolling 24-hour mention counts at actual retrieval times, may overlap and are not independent calendar-day totals. Missing saved counts and not-listed observations are unknown, never zero. Prior observations are the latest five available per current attention name; calendar gaps remain explicit. Public source: ApeWisdom stock-focused Reddit feed. Only saved observations from 2026-10-02, 2026-10-06, 2026-10-07, 2026-10-08, 2026-10-09, 2026-10-10, 2026-10-12, 2026-10-13, 2026-10-14 were checked.
Public attention map
Original synthesis from selected public issuer releases, public analyst tables and official calendars. The separately saved social follow-up uses dated observed counts; this map is not measured sentiment or a complete social census. No private subscriptions used. Priority AI names remain internally reviewed and are excluded here because no current qualified technical setup exists. Checked 2026-10-14T07:46:40.795Z. Public research leads, not verified consensus or trade signals.
Semiconductor testing: product demand versus a bearish setup
TER — Teradyne Inc · Technology
Bull case: Product expansion can serve growing AI test demand; scheduled results may clarify conversion. Bear case: The current bearish head-and-shoulders and weak momentum conflict with that product narrative.
Catalyst: October27 results at16:30ET or later; October28 call08:30ET. Alex: Confirmed bearish head-and-shoulders; Elliott gate unqualified. Research setup only; no verified short borrow.
Digital advertising: cuts alongside positive ratings
APP — Applovin Corp · Communication Services
Bull case: Analysts cutting targets still retain positive ratings, leaving a recovery argument. Bear case: Recent target reductions and a confirmed bear flag expose disagreement about growth and valuation.
Catalyst: November4 results afterclose, webinar17:00ET. Alex: Bear flag confirmed, price below SMA50/100/200; bullish MACD is a conflict. Elliott unqualified and borrow unavailable.
Power demand: conditional development, incomplete fresh coverage
NRG — NRG Energy Inc. · Utilities
Bull case: A proposed1.2GW project could supply data-center demand if remaining requirements are met. Bear case: Conditional inclusion is not final authorization; current company-news and next earnings coverage remain incomplete.
Catalyst: Further ERCOT studies and verified company event timing; no assumed approval or date. Alex: Current bull-flag setup is reviewed separately; incomplete event evidence must not be marked complete to create a model entry.
Started 2026-10-02 with cash; new confirmed trades only. One unit = $5,000; maximum three units and 15% of equity per position at entry; combined shorts capped at 30% of equity.
Portfolio value$99,720.82Cash including restricted short proceeds$45,000.00Since inception$-279.18 (-0.28%)Since prior report$102.02 (+0.10%)
Long exposure: $54,720.82. Short exposure: $-0.00. Net exposure: $54,720.82.
Realized P&L: $0.00. Unrealized P&L: $-279.18. Prices through 2026-10-13T20:00:00Z.
Only recorded simulated holdings. Bars use a common dollar scale; exact totals and ledger below remain authoritative.
Holding
Shares
Average cost
Close
P&L
Stop / target
Status
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) — Technology · long
13.2767
$376.60
$325.29
$-681.23
$342.00 / $447.85
Stop crossed at close — confirm exit
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) — Technology · long
7.8816
$634.39
$605.53
$-227.48
$596.07 / $739.46
Open
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — Technology · long
42.0743
$237.68
$228.52
$-385.19
$227.02 / $263.84
Open
Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) — Consumer Cyclical · long
19.6796
$254.07
$258.62
$89.54
$244.73 / $320.68
Open
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) — Utilities · long
43.1406
$115.90
$118.21
$99.65
$113.29 / $127.26
Open
Generac Holdings Inc (GNRC) — Industrials · long
22.7645
$219.64
$214.26
$-122.47
$201.95 / $266.86
Open
Accenture plc (ACN) — Technology · long
50.5740
$197.73
$213.54
$799.58
$192.58 / $219.03
Open
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) — Consumer Cyclical · long
30.7920
$324.76
$329.58
$148.42
$318.95 / $342.99 Updated from 2026-10-12T13:30:00Z
Open
Frozen-baseline price comparison
Original nominal closing-price baseline and matching current marks; portfolio excess return uses this price-only basis. Any separate adjusted daily comparison uses a different price basis.
Benchmark proxy
Since inception
Portfolio outperformance (percentage points)
S&P 500 · SPY
+1.84%
-2.11
Nasdaq-100 · QQQ
+0.21%
-0.49
Since inception · portfolio versus SPY and QQQ
Same measurement period: 2026-10-01 close to 2026-10-13 close. The model launched with $100,000 cash on 2 October; its first trading day was 2 October.
Portfolio / benchmark
Return over the period
Basis
Wave Workshop simulated portfolio
-0.28%
Cash-inclusive equity; price-only; zero model fees
Contextual comparison: ETF daily prices include the provider’s split/dividend adjustments; the simulated portfolio excludes dividends and cash interest. These are ETF proxies, not official index total returns. The original benchmark baseline is preserved. This separate adjusted daily comparison does not replace frozen-baseline accounting.
Price performance only; no dividends or cash interest. Recorded transaction and borrow charges deducted; pending borrow charges must be reconciled. Before taxes. Benchmark ETF proxies, not official index total returns. Insufficient history; excess return is not risk-adjusted alpha. Sam’s reviewed stop/target changes take effect at the next trading-session opening; original levels and dated revisions are retained. Stop/target flags are closing-price observations, not fills. Gaps may exceed stops. The existing CDNS trade is excluded.
Sam’s holdings review
Reviewed 2026-10-14T07:48:53.997Z. Pending exits remain included in recorded holdings and portfolio marks until an authorized, evidenced fill convention is implemented. No real orders.
Holding
Decision
Reason
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) · Technology
Unfilled exit decision
Maintain the original 9 October unfilled exit decision. Completed close325.29 remains below stop342 and original367.85 breakout; RSI41.9 and bearish MACD confirm weak structure. Product expansion is a competing longer-term case, not evidence of repaired price structure. No additional units or invented fill.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) · Technology
Unfilled exit decision
Maintain the original 13 October unfilled exit decision. Close605.53 recovered above596.07 stop but remains below original627.18 breakout with bearish MACD and RSI48.8. A rebound does not erase the documented failure or shared semiconductor concentration. Partner cooling integration is constructive but does not establish booked incremental earnings.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) · Technology
Unfilled exit decision
Maintain the original 13 October unfilled exit decision. Close228.52 recovered above227.025 stop but remains below original230.96 trigger with bearish MACD and RSI47.0. Overnight UK compute commitment supports ecosystem demand, but is not booked NVIDIA revenue or a repaired continuation case.
Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) · Consumer Cyclical
retain
Retain one unit:258.62 remains above original251.87 trigger and244.725 stop with bullish MACD and RSI56.3. No addition because two Consumer Cyclical names are open and cloud/growth risk overlaps Technology. Keep320.682 target.
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) · Utilities
retain
Retain one unit:118.21 remains above113.865 trigger and113.29 stop with bullish MACD and RSI69.0. Fresh broker target cuts are cautionary opinions, not proof of thesis failure; rate sensitivity makes scheduled CPI a review trigger. Keep127.26 target, no increase.
Generac Holdings Inc (GNRC) · Industrials
retain
Retain one unit:214.26 still holds above original209.03 trigger and201.95 stop. Bearish MACD and retreat from225.03 conflict with the continuation case, so no addition; a completed break of support or verified adverse material news prompts reassessment. Current issuer-news coverage is incomplete, not a finding of no news. Keep266.86 target.
Accenture plc (ACN) · Technology
retain
Retain two units:213.54 remains above original entry197.73 and192.585 stop with bullish MACD and RSI68.7. Sagacity acquisition adds capability, but undisclosed terms and unquantified earnings prevent an automatic conviction increase. Keep219.035 target; no retrospective target extension.
Retain two units:329.58 remains above effective318.950012 stop with bullish MACD and RSI66.1. Preserve the prospective12 October stop revision and original342.989 target. Travel/growth and oil sensitivities remain; no additional Consumer Cyclical name.
Pending exits · no booked proceeds
Astera Labs, Inc. — Unfilled exit decision · 2026-10-09T05:37:36.201Z. Select discretionary exit: the completed close346.90 is below the original367.85 breakout, after a sharp reversal from382.22. This undermines the breakout case and increases AI concentration risk. Aries7 is constructive product news but not revenue evidence. Exit decision only: no fill is booked while the exit-price convention remains unresolved. Dated technical evidence
Advanced Micro Devices Inc — Unfilled exit decision · 2026-10-13T06:54:57.411Z. Select discretionary exit now: close594.13 is below original stop596.07 and breakout627.18; bearish MACD and confirmed double-top risk undermine the original continuation case. Helion launch and recent positive broker targets support the longer-term AI case but do not repair completed-price failure; reduce shared semiconductor exposure. Decision only, no fill. Dated technical evidence · Company evidence (2026-10-12T13:00:00Z)
NVIDIA Corporation — Unfilled exit decision · 2026-10-13T06:54:57.411Z. Select discretionary exit now: close226.42 is below original stop227.025 and breakout230.96, with bearish MACD and double-top risk. The older bullish triangle and fresh France agentic-AI deployments are the strongest competing case, but deployment news does not quantify near-term earnings and the original risk boundary has failed. Decision only, no fill. Dated technical evidence · Company evidence (2026-10-13T05:00:00Z)
Semiconductors/cloud/AI remain shared growth exposures. Targa adds Energy but commodity throughput and financing remain growth-sensitive; Duke/Vistra/NRG power exposure is not independent of data-center demand. No numerical correlation estimate claimed. Selective one-unit addition after50% gross threshold; maximum3 units/15% equity per name and30% shorts retained. Zero fees disclosed; fractional shares, no real orders.
Model entry decisions
Sam selects the stock and 1–3 units. Selected trades require a completed 4H trigger, then use the next US session opening price within the stated entry conditions. Simulated entries use fractional shares and zero model fees; gaps outside the entry range are not filled. Selections are prospective; entries are recorded only when their opening price is audited. Sam can decide to exit early if the investment case changes, including verified material news; the simulated exit-price convention remains pending. Stop/target observations remain alerts.
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) Technology · Semiconductors — MODEL ENTRY RECORDED · 1 UNIT. Simulated entry at audited US opening; zero model fees
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) Technology · Semiconductors — MODEL ENTRY RECORDED · 1 UNIT. Simulated entry at audited US opening; zero model fees
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Technology · Semiconductors — MODEL ENTRY RECORDED · 2 UNITS. Simulated entry at audited US opening; zero model fees
Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail — MODEL ENTRY RECORDED · 1 UNIT. Simulated entry at audited US opening; zero model fees
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric — MODEL ENTRY RECORDED · 1 UNIT. Simulated entry at audited US opening; zero model fees
Generac Holdings Inc (GNRC) Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery — MODEL ENTRY RECORDED · 1 UNIT. Simulated entry at audited US opening; zero model fees
Accenture plc (ACN) Technology · Information Technology Services — MODEL ENTRY RECORDED · 2 UNITS. Simulated entry at audited US opening; zero model fees
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) Consumer Cyclical · Lodging — MODEL ENTRY RECORDED · 2 UNITS. Simulated entry at audited US opening; zero model fees
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Technology · Software - Infrastructure — NO ENTRY · CONDITIONS NOT MET. Opening price outside selected entry conditions — no fill
Ciena Corp (CIEN) Technology · Communication Equipment — NO ENTRY · CONDITIONS NOT MET. Prospective sector cap allows two open names; four recorded Technology holdings remain open. Freeze additions before Monday opening. Original selection preserved; no cancellation or fill invented.
ServiceNow Inc (NOW) Technology · Software - Application — NO ENTRY · CONDITIONS NOT MET. Prospective sector cap allows two open names; four recorded Technology holdings remain open. Freeze additions before Monday opening. Original selection preserved; no cancellation or fill invented.
Targa Resources Inc (TRGP) Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream — SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING. Selected — next US opening; opening price not yet audited
Sam’s portfolio decisions
Prospective decisions recorded 2026-10-14T07:48:53.997Z. These update the allocation decision, not the earlier chart snapshot. A selection is booked at the next audited US opening within its stated entry range.
Not selected: completed bearish pattern reviewed, but audited borrow availability/rate, margin and dividend obligations are unavailable. Limited positive index trend is a competing case; no short is authorized by price weakness alone.
Not selected: completed bearish pattern reviewed, but audited borrow availability/rate, margin and dividend obligations are unavailable. Limited positive index trend is a competing case; no short is authorized by price weakness alone.
NRG Energy Inc. (NRG)Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
NOT SELECTED FOR PORTFOLIO
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Not selected: credible fresh4H flag and bullish momentum, but completed weekly/daily price remains below10/40-week and50/100/200-day averages, all daily averages falling. Failed-recovery alternative is material; next earnings timing and fresh issuer-news coverage remain incomplete. Prefer the fully reviewed Targa starter; no blanket macro veto.
Not selected: completed bearish pattern reviewed, but audited borrow availability/rate, margin and dividend obligations are unavailable. Limited positive index trend is a competing case; no short is authorized by price weakness alone.
Targa Resources Inc (TRGP)Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING
2026-10-14 US opening; $290.84–$295.00; completed 4H trigger $290.84
$278.16 / $344.59
Select one unit of Targa Resources for the next verified14 October opening within290.84–295. Completed4H ascending triangle above290.837 with stop278.160 and measured target344.587 offers at least2.94 reward/risk at the maximum entry. Last completed weekly close286.70 exceeded10/40-week averages; daily price exceeds rising50/100/200-day averages. Bullish4H MACD/RSI62.2 support continuation. Unconfirmed volume, slightly falling4H SMA50 and nearby294.22–296.63 resistance limit conviction to one unit; unqualified Elliott alternatives are not used to enlarge the target. Verified overnight dividend announcement and5 November results date complete the material issuer-event review. CPI precedes opening; enforce entry range and risk limits, and reassess material new evidence before collection. Energy diversifies sector names but retains growth/commodity exposure. No real order. Targa Resources Inc (TRGP), Energy: the selected $5,000 starter would take Energy from zero to one open name, with 5.01% of portfolio equity in sector exposure and up to $285.42 (0.286% of equity) of original-stop distance at the $295 entry ceiling—within the two-name, 25% exposure and 1.5% sector stop-risk limits. These are prospective calculations using $99,720.82 equity; no fill is booked, and gaps can exceed the stop. XLE’s daily and 4H trends are positive, but it lagged SPY by 0.44 percentage points over the 20 sessions through 13 October, with elevated RSI. This offers supportive trend context, not sector leadership; Targa’s own confirmed triangle supports the one-unit selection. Technology additions remain frozen while its existing holdings remain open; pending exit decisions release no capacity.
Not selected: completed bearish pattern reviewed, but audited borrow availability/rate, margin and dividend obligations are unavailable. Limited positive index trend is a competing case; no short is authorized by price weakness alone.
Social attention · saved history
Rolling 24-hour mention snapshots; dates and times below are UTC. Windows may overlap. Missing history is unknown, not zero. This is attention, not sentiment or a trading signal.
Financial Services
10-14 07:42 UTC
History limited: no comparable saved prior count.
Build a longer comparable history; check the next saved snapshot for persistence.
Unknown: 10-02 (not saved), 10-06 (not saved), 10-07 (not saved), 10-08 (not saved), 10-09 (not saved), 10-10 (not saved), 10-12 (not saved), 10-13 (not saved).
Healthcare
10-14 07:42 UTC
History limited: no comparable saved prior count.
Build a longer comparable history; check the next saved snapshot for persistence.
Unknown: 10-02 (not saved), 10-06 (not saved), 10-07 (not saved), 10-08 (not saved), 10-09 (not saved), 10-10 (not saved), 10-12 (not saved), 10-13 (not saved).
Technology
10-14 07:42 UTC
10-10 05:32 UTC: 31
Falling across saved observations: 3 observations, 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-14. Overall 35 → 28 (-7 mentions). Irregular rolling snapshots, not a continuous daily trend.
Build a longer comparable history; check the next saved snapshot for persistence.
Unknown: 10-02 (not saved), 10-06 (not saved), 10-08 (not saved), 10-09 (not saved), 10-12 (not saved), 10-13 (not saved).
Saved current24h values only; previous24h fields are not converted into dated observations. These are rolling 24-hour mention counts at actual retrieval times, may overlap and are not independent calendar-day totals. Missing saved counts and not-listed observations are unknown, never zero. Prior observations are the latest five available per current attention name; calendar gaps remain explicit. Public source: ApeWisdom stock-focused Reddit feed. Only saved observations from 2026-10-02, 2026-10-06, 2026-10-07, 2026-10-08, 2026-10-09, 2026-10-10, 2026-10-12, 2026-10-13, 2026-10-14 were checked.