7 October 2026 · Prices through the 6 October US close
Model entry decisions
Sam selects the stock and 1–3 units. Selected trades require a completed 4H trigger, then use the next US session opening price within the stated entry conditions. Simulated entries use fractional shares and zero model fees; gaps outside the entry range are not filled. Selections are prospective; entries are recorded only when their opening price is audited. Sam can decide to exit early if the investment case changes, including verified material news; the simulated exit-price convention remains pending. Stop/target observations remain alerts.
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) Technology · Semiconductors — SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING. Selected — next US opening; opening price not yet audited
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) Technology · Semiconductors — SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING. Selected — next US opening; opening price not yet audited
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Technology · Semiconductors — SELECTED · 2 UNITS · NEXT OPENING. Selected — next US opening; opening price not yet audited
Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail — SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING. Selected — next US opening; opening price not yet audited
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric — SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING. Selected — next US opening; opening price not yet audited
Generac Holdings Inc (GNRC) Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery — SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING. Selected — next US opening; opening price not yet audited
5 price setups to examine, with the case for each and the risks beside it. Setup validity and model-portfolio allocation are separate decisions. Maya’s news and social-attention sections follow the charts.
Sam’s portfolio decisions
Prospective decisions recorded 2026-10-07T05:38:37.599Z. These update the allocation decision, not the earlier chart snapshot. A selection is booked at the next audited US opening within its stated entry range.
Not selected in this allocation batch despite a valid volume-confirmed bull flag and2.76R: RSI77.97 indicates an extended move, and queued NVIDIA/AMD/Astera plus new Amazon already concentrate AI-related exposure. Prefer the lower-RSI Amazon recovery and small utility diversifier now; this is a portfolio preference, not an invalid setup or automatic RSI veto.
Retain the existing one-unit selection and original 627.19–653.40 opening bounds. October 6 close 649.55 remains above trigger; mixed MACD and RSI71.37 limit conviction. No duplicate or larger allocation.
Amazon.com Inc (AMZN)Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING
$251.88–$258.00
$244.73 / $320.68
Select one unit: volume-confirmed triangle recovery, bullish MACD, RSI60.35 and close256.33 above previous session high254.53. Mixed moving averages and100-period resistance257.52 justify a starter; triangle target320.68 is conditional, with261.12 an intermediate resistance checkpoint. Opening251.88–258, stop244.725006.
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV)Technology · Software - Infrastructure
NOT SELECTED FOR PORTFOLIO
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Not selected for this batch: valid bullish triangle but1.61R and competing nearer double-bottom target96.93; prefer the already selected semiconductor exposure plus Amazon and a utility starter. AI concentration and financing sensitivity reduce marginal portfolio benefit; not a claim the chart is invalid.
Not selected for this batch: bullish triangle1.57R but near-term double-bottom target622.28 offers under1R. Existing AI-related queued names already concentrate that theme. Valid technical setup; no allocation in this batch.
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB)Technology · Semiconductors
SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING
$360.13–$384.30
$342.00 / $447.85
Retain only the existing conditional one-unit selection at360.13–384.30. October6 close389.88 exceeds its cap; no fill at that close and no retrospective widening. Bullish MACD improves but refreshed flag has only1.40R; opening must return inside original bounds without invalidation.
Fresh one-unit selection supersedes the prior selection prospectively: completed October6 close223.69 preserves original triangle and1.99R. New opening bounds209.04–225.50 retain at least1.75R. Bullish MACD supports continuation; RSI70.56 and falling200 average near229 limit sizing. Target cuts and incomplete earnings-date coverage remain cautions.
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING
$113.87–$116.50
$113.29 / $127.26
Select one countertrend starter: volume-confirmed triangle, bullish MACD, RSI54.42 and strong close115.66 above prior session high114.31. Falling50/100/200 averages117.07/120.02/122.05 and competing bearish triangle are explicit adverse technical evidence, limiting size to one unit and opening113.87–116.50. Stop113.29, target127.26; no claim of confirmed larger-degree reversal.
Bull flag · Bullish price pattern · Last close $505.37
Why bullish: Price rose, paused in a short counter-trend channel, then broke above that channel. This supports a possible continuation higher. The closing price is above its 50-bar average ($417.12) and above its 200-bar average ($433.90).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume supports the move. A move below $482.16 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; no release observed in the available calculation window. Momentum is bullish and rising (50.69). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$501.72Stop reference$482.16Target reference$569.35Reward / risk at close2.8 : 1
Sam: NOT SELECTED FOR PORTFOLIO. Not selected in this allocation batch despite a valid volume-confirmed bull flag and2.76R: RSI77.97 indicates an extended move, and queued NVIDIA/AMD/Astera plus new Amazon already concentrate AI-related exposure. Prefer the lower-RSI Amazon recovery and small utility diversifier now; this is a portfolio preference, not an invalid setup or automatic RSI veto. Decision recorded 2026-10-07T05:38:37.599Z; entry terms below.
Leading reading: Bullish contracting diagonal · developing · Wave 3. No usable projected target supplied for this reading. Wave trigger $445.92; count invalidation $362.55. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Competing reading: Bullish expanding diagonal · developing · Wave 3. Potential Wave 3 target $538.22 (6.5% from the reported close). Wave trigger $445.92; count invalidation $362.55. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Wall Street view
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 4 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Target changes in 30 days: 5 raises / 0 cuts (separate from rating changes). Selected dated attributed reports verified in accessible coverage. Found events only, not an exhaustive 30-day Wall Street census; original broker notes and complete consensus unavailable. Checked 2026-10-07T05:38:39.751Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Bull flag · Bullish price pattern · Last close $649.55
Why bullish: Price rose, paused in a short counter-trend channel, then broke above that channel. This supports a possible continuation higher. The closing price is above its 50-bar average ($558.85) and above its 200-bar average ($514.20).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume is still unconfirmed. A move below $596.07 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; its last observed release was 2 completed bars ago. Momentum is bullish and rising (6.49). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$627.60Stop reference$596.07Target reference$739.88Reward / risk at close1.7 : 1
Sam: SELECTED · 1 UNIT · NEXT OPENING. Retain the existing one-unit selection and original 627.19–653.40 opening bounds. October 6 close 649.55 remains above trigger; mixed MACD and RSI71.37 limit conviction. No duplicate or larger allocation. Decision recorded 2026-10-07T05:38:37.599Z; entry terms below.
Competing reading: Bullish impulse · developing · Wave 5. Potential Wave 5 target $652.91 (0.5% from the reported close). Wave trigger $638.95; count invalidation $526.79. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Wall Street view
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Target changes in 30 days: 1 raises / 0 cuts (separate from rating changes). Selected attributed actions previously verified and retained as dated historical evidence; recent source searches do not establish an exhaustive 30-day history. Missing coverage is not zero actions. Checked 2026-10-07T05:38:39.751Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Symmetrical triangle · Bullish price pattern · Last close $256.33
Why bullish: The symmetrical triangle has broken upward on a completed candle, favouring a possible continuation higher. The closing price is above its 50-bar average ($252.42) and above its 200-bar average ($253.07).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume supports the move. A move below $244.73 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; its last observed release was 1 completed bars ago. Momentum is bullish and rising (2.26). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Competing reading: Bullish contracting diagonal · developing · Wave 3. No usable projected target supplied for this reading. Wave trigger $259.49; count invalidation $244.30. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Wall Street view
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Target changes in 30 days: 2 raises / 0 cuts (separate from rating changes). Selected dated attributed reports verified in accessible coverage. Found events only, not an exhaustive 30-day Wall Street census; original broker notes and complete consensus unavailable. Checked 2026-10-07T05:38:39.751Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Symmetrical triangle · Bullish price pattern · Last close $91.70
Why bullish: The symmetrical triangle has broken upward on a completed candle, favouring a possible continuation higher. The closing price is above its 50-bar average ($86.91) and below its 200-bar average ($92.22).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume supports the move. A move below $84.50 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Compression is active; wait for a release. Momentum is bullish and rising (1.60). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$89.17Stop reference$84.50Target reference$103.28Reward / risk at close1.6 : 1
Sam: NOT SELECTED FOR PORTFOLIO. Not selected for this batch: valid bullish triangle but1.61R and competing nearer double-bottom target96.93; prefer the already selected semiconductor exposure plus Amazon and a utility starter. AI concentration and financing sensitivity reduce marginal portfolio benefit; not a claim the chart is invalid. Decision recorded 2026-10-07T05:38:37.599Z; entry terms below.
Competing reading: Bullish expanding diagonal · developing · Wave 3. Potential Wave 3 target $104.33 (13.8% from the reported close). Wave trigger $91.12; count invalidation $78.27. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Wall Street view
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 1 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Current Buy/Hold/Sell consensus: unavailable.
2026-10-05 · Freedom Capital Markets: reiteration. Source
2026-10-02 · Cantor Fitzgerald: reiteration. Source
Target changes in 30 days: 1 raises / 0 cuts (separate from rating changes). Selected dated attributed reports verified in accessible coverage. Found events only, not an exhaustive 30-day Wall Street census; original broker notes and complete consensus unavailable. Checked 2026-10-07T05:38:39.751Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Symmetrical triangle · Bullish price pattern · Last close $573.83
Why bullish: The symmetrical triangle has broken upward on a completed candle, favouring a possible continuation higher. The closing price is above its 50-bar average ($541.68) and above its 200-bar average ($440.58).
What could go wrong: Breakout volume supports the move. A move below $520.18 would undermine this pattern.
TTM Squeeze · 4H: Squeeze is off; its last observed release was 1 completed bars ago. Momentum is bullish and rising (7.12). Momentum direction agrees with this setup. No fresh directional squeeze trigger.
Breakout reference$559.85Stop reference$520.18Target reference$658.23Reward / risk at close1.6 : 1
Sam: NOT SELECTED FOR PORTFOLIO. Not selected for this batch: bullish triangle1.57R but near-term double-bottom target622.28 offers under1R. Existing AI-related queued names already concentrate that theme. Valid technical setup; no allocation in this batch. Decision recorded 2026-10-07T05:38:37.599Z; entry terms below.
Competing reading: Bullish expanding diagonal · developing · Wave 3. Potential Wave 3 target $801.10 (39.6% from the reported close). Wave trigger $595.51; count invalidation $421.89. Provisional: parent-degree/subdivision or other method checks remain unresolved; not a confirmed wave count.
Wave projections and classical-pattern targets are separate scenarios, not interchangeable take-profit orders. The interactive chart may use newer candles or different session grouping.
Maya · Wall Street view
Reported rating changes: last 7 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades; last 30 days — 0 upgrades / 0 downgrades. Partial coverage: counts are only the events found, not market-wide totals.
Target changes in 30 days: 4 raises / 0 cuts (separate from rating changes). Selected dated attributed reports verified in accessible coverage. Found events only, not an exhaustive 30-day Wall Street census; original broker notes and complete consensus unavailable. Checked 2026-10-07T05:38:39.751Z. Analyst opinion is context, not a trade trigger.
Pattern targets are conditional measurements. Elliott alternatives remain unqualified; full analysis is linked below. Sam’s rules-based checklist is not an independent AI approval. Gaps can exceed stops.
TTM Squeeze settings and interpretation
20-bar Bollinger bands (2 population standard deviations); original Keltner: SMA20 typical price ± 1.5 × SMA20 high-low range; 20-bar regression momentum. Latest completed 4H candles only; a fresh trigger requires a release on the latest candle with positive/rising or negative/falling momentum. Other platforms may use different Keltner settings. Method reference.
The agreement provides an initial delivery of about 1.735m shares, with final settlement due by January 5. Interpretation: potential share-count support; it does not establish an improvement in underlying demand. Source →
Both plan results after the US close. AMD calls at 17:00 ET; Astera Labs at 16:30 ET. Interpretation: a shared event date increases concentration in AI earnings risk. These are call times, not exact release minutes. Source →
Kodiak selects AWS for autonomous-trucking AI
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
2026-10-01 · AI customer adoption
AWS will support simulation, model development and cloud infrastructure as Kodiak prepares driverless public-highway service. Interpretation: a concrete AI workload, but no disclosed contract value with which to quantify Amazon earnings impact. Source →
Fed minutes are the main policy event
2026-10-07 · Scheduled macro event
Minutes of the September 15–16 meeting are scheduled at 19:00 UK today. Interpretation: rate expectations can move growth stocks, utilities and precious metals; this is not a new rate decision. Source →
Names attracting social attention
Largest increases in reported Reddit ticker mentions among our stock universe. These are research leads, not buy signals.
ApeWisdom source · Retrieved 2026-10-07T05:37:16.181Z. Counts are mentions, not people; the provider’s exact measurement-window end is unavailable. Coverage is Reddit-focused, not all social media. Alphabet share classes are separate ticker counts.
Our $100,000 model portfolio
Started 2026-10-02 with cash; new confirmed trades only. One unit = $5,000; maximum three units and 15% of equity per position at entry; combined shorts capped at 30% of equity.
Portfolio value$100,000.00Cash including restricted short proceeds$100,000.00Since inception$0.00 (+0.00%)Since prior report$0.00 (+0.00%)
Long exposure: $0.00. Short exposure: $-0.00. Net exposure: $0.00.
Realized P&L: $0.00. Unrealized P&L: $0.00. Prices through 2026-10-06T20:00:00Z.
Holding
Shares
Average cost
Close
P&L
Stop / target
Status
No trades entered. $100,000 cash.
Benchmark proxy
Since inception
Portfolio outperformance (percentage points)
S&P 500 · SPY
+1.98%
-1.98
Nasdaq-100 · QQQ
+2.37%
-2.37
Price performance only; no dividends or cash interest. Recorded transaction and borrow charges deducted; pending borrow charges must be reconciled. Before taxes. Benchmark ETF proxies, not official index total returns. Insufficient history; excess return is not risk-adjusted alpha. Sam’s reviewed stop/target changes take effect at the next trading-session opening; original levels and dated revisions are retained. Stop/target flags are closing-price observations, not fills. Gaps may exceed stops. The existing CDNS trade is excluded.
Setup performance & follow-up
Prior-report names only, one row per stock. Today’s new setups enter this recap after their first subsequent completed trading session. A revised pattern never restarts performance. Green means the price moved in the setup’s direction; red means it moved against it.
Reference prices are the completed closes shown in the first report, not entry fills. Cumulative move reverses the price-change sign for bearish setups. New ideas have no prior-report comparison; weekends and gaps can make the interval longer than one session. Original stop and target levels stay fixed for tracking. Updated references are shown separately and do not rewrite prior outcomes. Flags use report-snapshot closes only: intraday touches and their order are unverified. A recorded stop/target remains highlighted; subsequent price moves continue to be shown, not treated as returns after an exit. No trades, fills, fees or trading P&L are assumed.